
USDA's December WASDE left most grain and oilseed estimates unchanged, matching trader expectations. Corn exports were cut and ending stocks raised by 75 million bushels, while soybean supply and use were unchanged.
USDA raised Ukraine's corn exports and lowered those of the United States, Russia and the EU.
Lower U.S. export forecasts from competition and a strong dollar point to weaker corn export demand, a bearish factor for corn prices and feed grain demand.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.