
USDA's December WASDE kept key corn, soybean, wheat and rice figures largely unchanged. The biggest changes were in wheat, where lower projected exports and higher ending stocks triggered a bearish price reaction.
Analysts described the report as a 'kick the can' release.
Steady corn and soybean balance sheets leave feed grain prices without a fundamental catalyst, while the wheat export cut weighs on wheat values as US competitiveness slips.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.