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Central banks in Brazil and Canada joined a global hawkish drift in policy, with pressure building on the RBA. Commodity currencies softened as energy and raw material prices fell on Iran nuclear talks, higher crude inventories and Russian gas storage instructions.
Falling energy prices reduce biofuel and feedstock demand signals, while a stronger policy-driven currency mix affects the cost of imported feed ingredients.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco PesoleOct 28, 2021After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
