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ING analysts said the dollar is expensive to sell after the rise in US Treasury yields, but they still favour a weaker dollar for the rest of 2024. They target EUR/USD at 1.14, expect the Fed to cut more than markets price, and remain positive on commodity currencies.
A medium-term dollar decline would support dollar-priced commodities and lower import costs for non-US buyers. The near-term outlook is range-bound, so the immediate effect on feed prices is limited.
think.ing.comFrancesco PesoleMar 1, 2024After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
