Loading…
UBS economists argue that the dollar's broad 2026 decline will have a smaller effect on US inflation than tariffs did. Most US import contracts are priced in dollars and fixed for their duration, so currency moves pass through slowly.
Because import contracts are dollar-denominated and fixed, a weaker dollar does not immediately raise US costs for imported feed inputs. Any commodity price effect from the currency should therefore build gradually.
ubs.comJan 30, 2026After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
