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The dollar has found support despite falling US Treasury yields, and it now depends on US activity data to drive a recovery. US GDP was revised up to 5.2% annualised in the third quarter while core PCE came in weaker.
Dollar direction affects the dollar-denominated value of US commodity exports; without a clear rate catalyst, currency-driven price moves for feed commodities stay limited.
think.ing.comFrancesco Pesole, Chris Turner, Frantisek TaborskyNov 30, 2023After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
