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Fed funds futures priced a 93% chance of a June rate hike after the FOMC statement, up from 69% the previous day. The dollar strengthened against other currencies, and the Australian dollar fell over 1% as gold, iron ore and copper slid.
Rising June hike odds lift the dollar and pressure commodity currencies and commodity prices, which can soften export values for US grains and oilseeds.
au.investing.comKathy LienMay 3, 2017After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
