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The Fed raised rates by 25bp and Chair Yellen struck a more optimistic tone than markets expected, despite a drop in inflation. The Fed raised its GDP forecasts, lowered its unemployment estimates and reaffirmed a third hike for 2017.
The dollar traded sharply higher in response after weak retail and inflation reports had prompted short-dollar positioning.
A hawkish surprise from the Fed lifted the dollar sharply after a short-dollar positioning build-up, which tends to pressure dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets.
za.investing.comJun 14, 2017After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Yellen's upbeat tone and raised GDP forecasts reversed short-dollar positioning, producing a sharp dollar rally.
