Markets expect the Fed to hold rates at its May 2 meeting but to raise them in June, with futures pricing a near-certain June hike. Equities were mixed in Asia and Europe, and the dollar was under pressure against the yen while US Treasury yields approached 3%.
Expected tightening and a firmer dollar tend to pressure dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, while higher yields raise carrying costs for inventories.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.