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U.S. crop condition ratings fell to 45% good/excellent, the lowest since 2006, amid continued poor weather. Grain futures rallied about 2-4%, with concern centered on high-protein spring wheat and a widening spread between SRW and HRW contracts.
Dry conditions in South Australia and Western Australia also keep Australian basis firm.
Low U.S. crop ratings and protein scarcity support wheat prices and premiums for high-protein wheat used in feed and milling. The WASDE and ABARES reports offered few surprises.
stockco.com.auCaitlin DeardenJun 22, 2017After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
