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StoneX notes November canola near $830 after a gain of over $100 since June 30, driven by dry Western Canada and lower US soybean acres. The USDA pegs canola production near 20 MMT, while the trade expects 17 to 18 MMT.
If production falls below 19 MMT, export demand rationing would be needed, implying further upside for canola meal and feed supply tightness.
stonex.comCraig TurnerJul 17, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
