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Oklahoma State economist Kim Anderson reports Perryton and Pond Creek forward wheat contracts stayed above $5 in March after drought spread across much of the US hard red winter area. He notes the world wheat price of $5.91 f.o.b.
Black Sea may cap cash gains in the 2018/19 marketing year.
Dry HRW conditions support US wheat prices, but Black Sea export competition at a lower f.o.b. price could limit how far cash wheat can rise for feed buyers.
farmprogress.comKim AndersonMar 23, 2018After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
