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Cold and dry conditions across the US, Canada and EU drove speculative buying and pushed wheat prices considerably higher over the prior week. Dryness in Brazil's second corn crop and a slow Argentine corn harvest also supported global corn prices.
IKAR raised its Russian wheat crop forecast to 81 million tonnes.
Weather concerns across major exporters and the Brazilian safrinha dryness support global grain prices. Higher Russian crop estimates partly offset the rally, so the price outlook depends on weather.
farming.co.ukApr 16, 2021After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
