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Wheat traders are focusing on weather, especially low moisture and cold May temperatures affecting Russia's crop. USDA's first 2024-25 projections show a larger global crop, but consumption is forecast to outpace growth.
Weather-driven doubts over Russian output are supporting a rally from long-term lows, while a larger expected global crop caps the upside.
world-grain.comChris LyddonMay 21, 2024After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Traders focused on low moisture and cold May temperatures in Russia, supporting the weather-driven price rise.
