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Kansas City HRW and Chicago SRW wheat futures hit new contract highs after weaker USDA crop ratings. European wheat futures in Paris reached an all-time high on concerns over Ukraine's recently planted winter crop, where limited precipitation and reduced fertilizer use are cutting expectations.
Heavy La Nina rains have also hit Australia's east coast, a key milling region.
Concurrent supply concerns in Ukraine, Australia and the US tighten global wheat availability, supporting feed grain prices and substitution demand.
albertagrains.comNov 29, 2021After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
