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European biodiesel prices are being supported by the euro, which is at its strongest against the dollar in 32 months, despite falling vegetable oil prices. Anti-dumping duties on Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel may be lifted on September 7, which could boost imports.
A strong euro offsets weaker vegetable oil costs, but a possible duty removal could raise import flows and pressure biodiesel and vegetable oil prices lower.
biofuelsdigest.comMeghan SappAug 30, 2017After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
