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The euro rose to $1.148, its strongest level since June 17, after second-quarter eurozone GDP grew 0.4%, double forecasts, and German and Spanish inflation firmed. Markets raised bets on a second ECB rate hike, possibly in September, while renewed US airstrikes on Iran lifted oil prices.
A firmer euro and higher ECB rate expectations weaken the dollar, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities like grains and soybean meal. Higher oil prices also raise energy and fertilizer costs for feed producers.
tradingeconomics.comJoana FerreiraJul 30, 2026After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Eurozone Q2 GDP doubling forecasts and firmer inflation lifted ECB hike bets, pushing EUR/USD to its strongest since mid-June on the move date.
