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Capital Economics says the euro's recent appreciation against the dollar reflects better euro-zone growth prospects despite expected continued loose ECB policy. It no longer expects rate differentials to cause a significant euro depreciation.
A firmer euro against the dollar tends to soften the dollar index, modestly supporting dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, though the effect on feed prices is limited.
capitaleconomics.comCapital Economics EconomistMay 23, 2017After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
