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European central banks pushed back against aggressive rate-cut expectations, while the Fed's shift supported global risk assets. Local currencies gained against the dollar, and EUR/USD reached 1.10 at one point.
The shift in rate expectations between the Fed and European central banks moves the dollar and currency-driven trade flows, which can change the relative competitiveness of US and European feed exports.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco Pesole, Frantisek TaborskyDec 15, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
