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Chinese authorities pressured traders holding short renminbi positions as the dollar softened. Analysts expected weak US existing home sales and less hawkish FOMC minutes to pressure the dollar further.
A softer dollar and firmer yuan lower USDCNY, which can marginally ease the cost of dollar-denominated commodity imports for China.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky, Francesco PesoleNov 21, 2023After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
