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Oil World data show Argentina's 2017 soybean area at 18.5 million hectares, down from a prior forecast of 19.1 million, with a crop forecast of 54 million tonnes and yield about 2% below last year. Early-September soybean stocks hit a record 32 million tonnes, while poor farmer sales have kept crushing and exports low.
A smaller Argentine crop is supportive for soybeans, but record stocks and slow farmer selling limit the upside, and weaker crush and export expectations point to pressure on soybean meal and oil export prices.
grainsprices.comGate.BGSep 24, 2017After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
