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USDA Foreign Agricultural Service cut its Argentina soybean forecast to 36 million tons, 9.5 million below the latest official USDA projection, because of hot, dry weather. It projects Brazil's combined corn crop at 125.5 million tons, up 8% on last year.
It also expects Brazil's record wheat crop and says soybean meal futures have hit contract highs.
Argentina is the leading exporter of soybean meal and oil, so a smaller crop should lift demand for U.S. soybeans and products. The larger Brazilian corn crop adds export competition, particularly to U.S. corn sales to China, which is bearish for corn.
ukragroconsult.comFeb 3, 2023After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
