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Soybeans and corn rose on commercial and technical buying as the US-China phase one trade deal was agreed but not yet signed, with some tariffs remaining at lower rates. Argentina raised export taxes on soybeans and products to 30% and on corn and sorghum to 12%, with the changes made by decree.
The NOPA November soybean crush fell about 6% year on year.
Argentina's export tax hikes curb its supply of soybean products and corn, supporting meal, oil and corn prices. Unconfirmed China purchase details keep the rally tentative.
brownfieldagnews.comDec 16, 2019After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
