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Argentina's grain trade has nearly stalled because exporters expect the government to raise oilseed export taxes from 30% to 33% to address its fiscal deficit. The Ministry of Agriculture suspended agricultural export registrations on February 26, and buyers are not bidding in the Rosario market.
Higher Argentine export taxes and frozen sales shift export flows toward other origins, supporting soy and meal prices while pressuring Rosario domestic farm prices.
datamarnews.comSylvia SchandertFeb 29, 2020After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
