Argentine President Mauricio Macri announced new export taxes on grains and steep spending cuts in an emergency bid to balance the 2021 budget. The government aims to win faster IMF disbursement under a $50 billion loan program.
The new levies could delay international grain shipments as exporters watch the exchange rate.
Export taxes on the world's top soymeal and soyoil exporter can shift selling timing and reduce farmer selling, tightening export availability and supporting world meal and oil prices.
After 172 past bullish policy events, SBM moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.