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Wheat rose as major importers looked for supplies from alternative exporters after Russia's invasion choked Black Sea exports. Soybeans climbed past $17 to their highest intraday level in almost two weeks, supported by drought-hit South American crops.
India is in talks to ship wheat to Egypt, China and Turkey.
Loss of Black Sea exports drives importers to other origins, supporting wheat prices, while drought-reduced South American soy output tightens oilseed supplies.
moneyweb.co.zaJames Poole, Allison Nicole Smith, BloombergMar 22, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 3/22 importers sought alternative exporters after Black Sea exports were choked, which extended the wheat gains through the supply shortfall.
