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July CBOT wheat rose 5.8% to $6.88 a bushel on May 20 amid escalating Russia-Ukraine fighting and weather problems in their winter crops. Ukrainian drones attacked the Russian grain port of Novorossiysk, and corn and soybeans also gained.
Attacks on Black Sea export infrastructure combined with crop weather issues raise supply risk and support global wheat and feed grain prices.
marketscreener.comMarketScreenerMay 20, 2024After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, SOY moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports July CBOT wheat up 5.8% on May 20 on Russian crop worries and Ukrainian drone attacks on Novorossiysk, combining supply-shortfall and Black Sea trade-flow risk premium.
July CBOT wheat jumped 5.8% on May 20 on Russian crop worries and Ukrainian drone strikes on Novorossiysk, driving a large share of the 5-day gain.
Wheat surged on Russia-Ukraine fighting and crop weather problems, with corn also gaining in sympathy as feed-grain substitution and geopolitical risk lifted the complex, though the event predates the May 27 move by a week.
