
The rupiah rose 26 points to close at 13,992 per dollar on optimism about a US-China trade deal. Trump postponed a planned tariff increase on Chinese goods set for March 1 and planned a summit with Xi Jinping, and lower crude prices also supported the currency.
Progress toward a US-China deal supports expectations of higher Chinese purchases of US soybeans and grains, while lower crude prices reduce Indonesia's fuel import bill.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.