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Oil in New York fell below $60 a barrel for the first time since March after a surprise jump in US crude inventories. Fears of a full trade war between the US and China weighed on demand outlook, and Brent fell below $70.
Global equities also weakened after reports the White House considered restricting technology exports to Chinese surveillance firms.
Trade-war escalation weakens global growth expectations and cuts crude demand forecasts. Lower oil prices reduce energy-linked costs and pressure biofuel economics that support feed-grain and oilseed demand.
energynow.comMay 23, 2019 by Tsuyoshi Inajima and Grant SmithMay 23, 2019After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent fell below $70 on the inventory surprise and trade war fears weighing on demand, with equities weakening on tech export curbs.
WTI fell below $60 on a surprise US crude inventory build and trade-war demand fears, the combined supply-glut and demand-sentiment mechanism.
Rising US inventories and trade war fears pushed WTI below $60 and Brent below $70, but the timing is earlier than the window.
