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Oil fell on Monday as U.S. trade disputes with Mexico and China raised concerns about weaker global crude demand, and an equity slump added pressure. Brent had dropped almost 20% from its 2018 peak despite output curbs by OPEC and Russia and reduced Iranian and Venezuelan exports.
Trade-driven demand fears push crude lower, which tends to weaken energy-linked feedstock and biofuel costs. Lower energy prices also reduce the cost advantage of biofuels, pressuring soybean oil.
reuters.comLaila KearneyJun 3, 2019After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the June 3 oil drop on U.S. trade disputes with Mexico and China raising demand concerns plus an equity slump.
On June 3 oil fell on US-Mexico and US-China trade disputes and an equity slump, which directly contributed to the end-of-window decline.
