
US crude prices fell nearly 6% to a 10-week low of $57.91 a barrel on Thursday as US-China trade standoff fears intensified. The selloff followed a surprise surge in US crude inventories, which rose 37 million barrels over nine weeks to the highest level since July 2017.
Analysts warned of a possible renewed supply glut.
Trade-war fears cut demand expectations while a rising inventory glut lowers crude prices. Cheaper crude reduces the cost of energy-linked inputs and weakens biofuel economics for feed-grain markets.
After 80 past bearish trade events, WTI moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, BRENT moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the nearly 6% US crude drop on trade standoff fears plus a surge in US inventories raising glut concerns.
Notes a nearly 6% drop to a 10-week low on trade fears following a surge in US crude inventories to the highest since July 2017.
A near 6% crude drop to a 10-week low on trade war fears plus a surge in US inventories shows demand and supply glut pressures, though it falls slightly before the 5-day window.