
U.S. and European stock markets fell sharply on Monday after President Trump accused Beijing of currency manipulation, with the Dow and S&P 500 down about 3%. The yuan passed seven per dollar for the first time since 2008, and safe-haven assets like gold and the yen rose.
Brent crude fell 2.5% to $60.36 a barrel and WTI fell 1.7% to $54.69.
Escalating trade measures raise concerns about global growth, which weighs on energy demand and crude prices. Weaker crude also lowers the cost of biofuel feedstocks and can pressure related vegetable oil and grain prices.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On Aug 5 the currency manipulation accusation and yuan breaking 7 caused a risk-off selloff, with Brent falling further.