
Crude oil broke below $60 per barrel for the first time since March 29 and closed at $57.74 as US-China trade tensions increased. Stocks and bond yields also fell, and independent oil and gas producers dropped sharply.
Analysts noted that an OPEC output cut could stabilize prices but was unlikely before a later summer meeting.
Trade-driven demand concerns are overpowering supply factors and pushing crude lower. Weaker energy prices reduce biofuel economics and can soften demand for corn and soybean oil.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Crude fell below $60 and closed at $57.74 on escalating US-China trade tensions, weakening the demand outlook, though it dates from May 24, about 8 trading days before the window end.