
Oil slipped on Thursday as the escalating US-China trade dispute weighed on growth expectations. Moody's estimated the measures could cut up to 0.3-0.5 percentage points from China's 2019 GDP growth.
Brent was near $74.54 and WTI near $67.80, with US crude supported by a 5.8 million barrel inventory draw.
Weaker trade-driven growth expectations reduce energy demand and pressure crude, which lowers diesel and biofuel input costs. Tariff-driven demand losses also weigh on soy and feed-ingredient trade.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.