USDA Secretary Perdue said China is serious about Phase One commitments, noting 50 of 57 sanitary and phytosanitary issues were resolved. China's farm imports are up more than 44% in the first three quarters of 2020, and soybeans are above $10.70, corn near $4.14 and wheat near $6.
Official confidence in Chinese buying and record sales on the books supports futures for corn, soybeans and wheat, though pandemic and Hong Kong risks remain.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.