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Nearby and deferred live and feeder cattle futures settled higher in the week ending July 10, recovering from contract lows about ten days earlier. The USDA said it would resurvey farmers before the August 12 Crop Production report after confusing June acreage figures, with corn above and soybeans below expectations.
Heavy rain has halted planting or flooded some crops, and prevented planting is expected to rise.
Uncertainty over corn and soybean acreage and rising prevented planting point to tighter feed grain supplies, which supports feed prices. Analysts see a cattle price bottom supported by grain and meat demand.
u.osu.eduSmith atJul 10, 2019After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports feeder and live cattle futures rallied in the week to July 10 after contract lows about ten days earlier, matching the 5-day upward move, with grain and acreage uncertainty as a backdrop.
