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The October USDA Cattle on Feed report was close to trade expectations, with September placements at 2.1 million head, slightly above estimates, and marketings at 1.7 million head. Cattle on feed totaled 11.3 million head, 99% of a year earlier, and the heifer share rose to 39.1%.
Third-quarter beef slaughter was up year over year.
Lighter placements at heavy weights and a higher heifer mix support near-term live cattle prices and signal fewer replacement heifers ahead. Steady feedlot inventories limit additional feeder supply pressure.
u.osu.eduSmith atOct 30, 2019After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
