The November Cattle on Feed report came in below expectations for placements and on-feed totals, with sharp declines in Colorado, Kansas and Texas. The heifer share of feedlot cattle reached 39.7%, the highest since 2001, and the outside-feedlot supply is the tightest since 2014.
Tighter feeder cattle supplies and fewer placements are supportive for nearby fed cattle prices.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.