
US wheat futures rose over 1% on March 9 after USDA cut its forecast of world wheat ending stocks to 301.19 million tonnes, citing China's feed wheat demand. Corn fell after USDA raised world corn stocks, while soybeans firmed on tight US supplies.
The dollar retreated from a 3.5-year high.
The lower global wheat carryout supports wheat prices, while the larger world corn stocks figure weighs on corn. A weaker dollar also makes US grains more competitive abroad.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.