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Grain markets extended their recovery after USDA's WASDE projected the smallest US wheat harvest since 1972, with hard red winter output the lowest since 1957. Chicago SRW and Kansas HRW futures rose by daily limits.
The Bloomberg Grains Index is up 17% year to date, led by soybean oil and wheat.
Wheat shortfalls combined with biofuel-driven soybean oil demand and speculative inflows point to firmer grain and oilseed prices. Feed buyers face higher wheat and corn cost pressure.
home.saxoOle HansenMay 8, 2026After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
