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Chicago wheat futures surged after USDA reported US wheat supplies at their lowest since 2007 and the smallest harvest in 19 years. Soybeans fell sharply after the Sept.
1 stocks figure came in above trade expectations.
The tightest US wheat supply in over a decade raises costs for millers and feed users and supports wheat prices broadly. The bearish soybean stocks surprise shows the same report pushed soy lower.
grainews.caGFM Network NewsSep 30, 2021After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA reporting US wheat supplies at a 14-year low and the smallest harvest in 19 years tightened supply expectations and triggered a surge in Chicago wheat futures, a key driver heading into the Oct 4 move.
