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Chicago wheat futures hit contract lows on Thursday, their fourth straight day of declines, after a Canadian government report showed a bigger-than-expected harvest. Corn and soybeans also fell, with soybeans pressured by profit-taking after a three-month high.
A larger Canadian wheat crop adds supply to an already well-stocked market, pressuring wheat and feed grain prices. Lower wheat also weighs on corn as a feed substitute.
agcanada.comAGCanadaDec 7, 2017After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
StatsCan's larger-than-expected Canadian crop pushed wheat to contract lows days earlier, building the bearish supply backdrop and downward momentum going into the 12-11 drop.
