
On August 11, 2023, CBOT soybeans, corn and wheat settled lower as traders shed risk ahead of the weekend. USDA's WASDE projected smaller US corn and soybean harvests than expected, but the corn crop was still on track to be the second largest on record.
USDA also reported prevented plantings of 1.4 million acres of corn and 459,000 acres of soybeans.
Smaller projected US harvests would tighten supply and support prices. Improving weather expectations and the record corn crop outlook outweighed that effect, leaving prices lower.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.