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A Reuters piece on the USDA June acreage report says its projections far exceeded industry estimates, triggering a 4% one-day drop in corn futures, the steepest in nearly three years. The American Farm Bureau estimated the report cut the value of new-crop corn by about $2.6 billion.
Acreage surprises shift expectations for the new-crop corn supply, pressuring corn prices and feed costs for buyers. Traders' distrust of the data adds volatility.
reuters.comBarbara SmithAug 12, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
