Commodities broker Clayton Pope said the May USDA numbers were less friendly than the trade expected, with old-crop corn carryover down 95 million bushels versus larger expected cuts. He noted that new-crop corn stocks are comfortable and that traders are skeptical of USDA figures.
Traders doubting the report and seeing ample new-crop corn supplies points to limited support for corn prices until the June 30 acreage report.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Traders said the WASDE was less bullish than expected, with old-crop carryover cut by only 95 million bushels and new-crop stocks comfortable, which supports a sharp sell-off.