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CoBank reports the U.S. is harvesting a record soybean crop and the third-largest corn crop, with large carryover stocks and carry returning to futures markets. Export headwinds include a strong dollar, trade policy uncertainty, stalled rail shipments into Mexico, and low Mississippi River water levels, while Brazilian and Russian drought is sending buyers back to U.S. supplies.
Ample domestic supply and export frictions point to pressure on U.S. corn and soybean prices, partly offset by renewed export demand and biofuel-driven soybean oil and corn use.
farmcrediteast.comNov 5, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
