CoBank reports that the US is harvesting a record corn crop of about 16.8 billion bushels and the second-largest soybean crop in five years, after the largest wheat harvest in five years. Grain and oilseed prices remain at multi-year lows, and a record Brazilian soybean harvest will compete with US exports in January.
Abundant supply and competition from Brazil keep corn, soybean and wheat prices under pressure, while lower feed costs support livestock margins.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.