
The U.S. soybean crush industry expanded to about 2.55 billion bushels of capacity at the start of 2025, up 14% since 2023, with more expansions planned. Growth has been driven mainly by soybean oil demand for renewable diesel.
Rising crush capacity increases meal output, which is bearish for soybean meal prices, while strong biofuel-driven oil demand supports soybean oil and soybean prices.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.