
Soybean and corn futures rallied on September 30 after USDA stockpile figures came in below trade expectations, with soybeans up 2.4% to $9.06 and corn up 4.2% to $3.88. China bought up to 600,000 tonnes of US soybeans that day, and USDA put soybean supplies at 913 million bushels versus an estimated 982 million.
Tighter-than-expected US stocks and renewed Chinese buying support soybean and corn prices, reversing the September slump.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Sept 30 rally in soybeans and corn after USDA stocks came in well below expectations (soy 913M vs 982M bu) directly tightened supply and lifted soybean meal that day.