
A StoneX analyst says the WASDE cut 2024/25 world corn ending stocks to 277.8 Mt, a decade low, and raised US feed use by 150 Mbu. US-China tariffs were cut to 30% and 10% in a 90-day pause, reopening China to US soybeans.
Wheat was called bearish on a large projected world production figure.
Tight corn stocks and renewed Chinese soybean buying support feed grain and soymeal prices, while large wheat supplies keep wheat values under pressure.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.